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Payout & Risk

Arbitrage Calculator

An arbitrage calculator balances stakes across two compatible outcomes. The estimate assumes both prices remain executable and settlement rules, fees, limits, liquidity, and timing align.

Market inputs

Live
$

Allocation results

Live

Projected balanced profit

$5.00

Combined implied probability95.24%
Pricing gap4.76%
Projected ROI5.00%
OutcomeStakeProjected payout
Outcome 1$50.00$105.00
Outcome 2$50.00$105.00

Projection assumes every price is executable and all outcomes use compatible settlement rules. Fees, liquidity, limits, slippage, and price movement are not included.

Method and assumptions

How to use this calculator

This calculator distributes a total amount across mutually exclusive outcomes so each projected payout is equal.

When the math shows an opportunity

A combined implied probability below 100% produces a positive projected balance before costs. At or above 100%, equalized stakes produce a loss.

Verify before acting

Confirm contract wording, settlement source, void rules, executable size, fees, limits, and current prices on every platform. A mismatch in any one of those inputs can invalidate the result.

Keep checking the math

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Calculator results are informational estimates based on the values entered. They do not guarantee an outcome. Confirm current prices, rules, fees, liquidity, limits, and eligibility on the relevant platform.